Statistical area 2 population projections, characteristics, 2018(base)-2048(update)

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Statistical area 2 population projections, characteristics, 2018(base)-2048(update)


Projection		Medium
Measure		Births (live) - 5 years ended 30 June	Deaths - 5 years ended 30 June	Natural increase - 5 years ended 30 June	Net migration - 5 years ended 30 June	Population at 30 June	Median age (years) at 30 June
Measure
Area	Year at 30 June
Kaipara District	2018	..	..	..	..	23,700	46.6
	2023	1,500	1,100	400	3,500	27,700	48
	2028	1,600	1,300	200	1,500	29,400	49.1
	2033	1,500	1,600	-100	1,500	30,800	50.2
	2038	1,500	1,900	-400	1,500	31,900	51.3
	2043	1,600	2,100	-600	1,500	32,900	51.7
	2048	1,700	2,300	-700	1,500	33,700	51.6
Hauraki District	2018	..	..	..	..	20,700	47.8
	2023	1,200	1,100	100	1,700	22,500	49.5
	2028	1,100	1,200	-100	700	23,100	50.5
	2033	1,100	1,400	-300	700	23,400	52
	2038	1,000	1,600	-600	700	23,600	53.4
	2043	1,000	1,700	-700	700	23,600	54.9
	2048	1,000	1,800	-800	700	23,400	55.8
Matamata-Piako District	2018	..	..	..	..	35,300	41
	2023	2,400	1,700	800	1,500	37,600	41.7
	2028	2,400	1,900	600	500	38,600	42.9
	2033	2,400	2,000	300	500	39,500	44.4
	2038	2,300	2,200	100	500	40,100	45.7
	2043	2,200	2,400	-100	500	40,400	46.4
	2048	2,200	2,500	-300	500	40,600	47
Waipa District	2018	..	..	..	..	55,000	40.4
	2023	3,400	2,500	900	5,000	60,900	41.8
	2028	3,500	2,900	600	2,000	63,500	43.2
	2033	3,400	3,200	200	2,000	65,600	44.6
	2038	3,300	3,500	-200	2,000	67,400	45.7
	2043	3,300	3,800	-500	2,000	68,900	46.4
	2048	3,400	4,100	-700	2,000	70,200	46.9
Otorohanga District	2018	..	..	..	..	10,500	37.4
	2023	650	350	300	0	10,800	39.1
	2028	650	400	250	0	11,050	40.8
	2033	650	450	200	0	11,300	42.2
	2038	650	500	200	0	11,450	43.1
	2043	700	550	150	0	11,600	43.8
	2048	650	550	100	0	11,700	44.8
South Waikato District	2018	..	..	..	..	24,800	37.5
	2023	1,900	1,100	800	500	26,100	38.8
	2028	1,900	1,100	700	0	26,900	40.4
	2033	1,800	1,200	600	0	27,500	42
	2038	1,800	1,300	500	0	28,000	43.2
	2043	1,800	1,400	400	0	28,400	43.9
	2048	1,800	1,500	300	0	28,700	44.5
Waitomo District	2018	..	..	..	..	9,630	39.7
	2023	620	430	190	-100	9,720	40.9
	2028	610	460	150	-100	9,770	42.5
	2033	610	490	110	-100	9,790	44.2
	2038	580	530	50	-100	9,740	45.8
	2043	550	570	-10	-100	9,630	47.2
	2048	520	600	-70	-100	9,450	48.5
Taupo District	2018	..	..	..	..	38,600	43
	2023	2,500	1,700	800	2,300	41,700	44.2
	2028	2,400	2,000	400	1,000	43,100	45.5
	2033	2,300	2,200	100	1,000	44,100	46.9
	2038	2,300	2,500	-300	1,000	44,900	47.7
	2043	2,300	2,800	-500	1,000	45,400	48.1
	2048	2,300	2,900	-700	1,000	45,700	48.4
Rotorua District	2018	..	..	..	..	74,800	37.1
	2023	5,100	3,000	2,200	0	77,000	38.7
	2028	4,900	3,100	1,800	0	78,700	40.4
	2033	4,700	3,400	1,400	0	80,100	41.9
	2038	4,600	3,600	1,000	0	81,100	43
	2043	4,600	3,900	700	0	81,800	43.9
	2048	4,600	4,200	400	0	82,200	45
Whakatane District	2018	..	..	..	..	37,100	39.9
	2023	2,500	1,700	800	600	38,500	41.3
	2028	2,400	1,800	600	0	39,100	42.7
	2033	2,300	2,000	300	0	39,400	44.1
	2038	2,300	2,200	100	0	39,500	45.3
	2043	2,200	2,400	-100	0	39,400	46.1
	2048	2,200	2,500	-300	0	39,100	47.1
Kawerau District	2018	..	..	..	..	7,460	39.5
	2023	560	410	150	300	7,900	41.2
	2028	530	460	70	0	7,970	42.9
	2033	500	510	0	0	7,970	44.6
	2038	480	550	-70	0	7,900	46.2
	2043	460	580	-120	0	7,780	47.7
	2048	430	590	-160	0	7,620	49.2
New Plymouth District	2018	..	..	..	..	83,300	41.1
	2023	5,100	3,600	1,500	3,500	88,300	42.5
	2028	4,900	3,900	900	2,000	91,200	43.9
	2033	4,700	4,300	400	2,000	93,600	45.3
	2038	4,700	4,700	0	2,000	95,500	46
	2043	4,800	5,100	-300	2,000	97,200	46.3
	2048	4,800	5,500	-600	2,000	98,600	46.8
Stratford District	2018	..	..	..	..	9,710	39.7
	2023	650	400	250	300	10,250	41.3
	2028	650	450	200	0	10,450	43
	2033	600	500	100	0	10,550	44.8
	2038	550	550	50	0	10,600	46
	2043	550	600	-50	0	10,550	46.9
	2048	500	650	-100	0	10,450	47.4
South Taranaki District	2018	..	..	..	..	28,300	39.3
	2023	1,900	1,100	800	500	29,600	41
	2028	1,800	1,200	600	-200	30,000	42.7
	2033	1,700	1,300	400	-200	30,100	44.2
	2038	1,600	1,500	200	-200	30,100	45
	2043	1,600	1,600	0	-200	29,900	46
	2048	1,600	1,700	-100	-200	29,600	47
Whanganui District	2018	..	..	..	..	46,800	42.8
	2023	2,800	2,600	100	2,000	48,900	43.8
	2028	2,800	2,700	0	1,000	49,900	45
	2033	2,700	2,900	-300	1,000	50,700	46.4
	2038	2,500	3,200	-600	1,000	51,100	47.7
	2043	2,500	3,400	-900	1,000	51,200	48.6
	2048	2,500	3,500	-1,100	1,000	51,100	49
Rangitikei District	2018	..	..	..	..	15,450	41.1
	2023	1,050	650	400	400	16,250	42.2
	2028	1,050	700	350	0	16,600	43.5
	2033	1,000	750	250	0	16,850	45.1
	2038	1,000	800	200	0	17,050	45.8
	2043	1,000	900	100	0	17,150	46.5
	2048	1,000	950	50	0	17,200	47.2
Palmerston North City	2018	..	..	..	..	88,300	34.8
	2023	5,700	3,100	2,500	-200	90,600	36.2
	2028	5,500	3,300	2,200	500	93,300	37.4
	2033	5,400	3,600	1,800	500	95,600	38.4
	2038	5,200	3,900	1,400	500	97,400	39.1
	2043	5,300	4,200	1,100	500	99,000	39.7
	2048	5,300	4,500	800	500	100,300	40.6
Tararua District	2018	..	..	..	..	18,450	42.1
	2023	1,100	800	350	300	19,100	43.4
	2028	1,100	850	250	0	19,350	44.8
	2033	1,100	900	150	0	19,500	46.3
	2038	1,050	1,000	50	0	19,600	47.5
	2043	1,050	1,100	-50	0	19,550	48.5
	2048	1,000	1,150	-200	0	19,350	49.5
Horowhenua District	2018	..	..	..	..	34,500	45.8
	2023	2,100	2,100	0	3,000	37,500	46.3
	2028	2,100	2,300	-200	1,500	38,800	46.8
	2033	2,100	2,500	-400	1,500	40,000	47.8
	2038	2,000	2,600	-600	1,500	40,800	48.9
	2043	2,000	2,800	-800	1,500	41,500	49.8
	2048	2,000	2,900	-1,000	1,500	42,000	50.6
Kapiti Coast District	2018	..	..	..	..	55,200	49
	2023	2,500	3,400	-900	3,500	57,800	50
	2028	2,500	3,600	-1,100	2,500	59,100	51
	2033	2,500	3,800	-1,300	2,500	60,300	51.9
	2038	2,500	4,100	-1,600	2,500	61,200	52.9
	2043	2,400	4,300	-1,800	2,500	61,800	53.9
	2048	2,300	4,500	-2,100	2,500	62,200	54.6
Porirua City	2018	..	..	..	..	58,900	36.3
	2023	4,300	1,700	2,600	600	62,100	38
	2028	4,200	1,900	2,200	0	64,300	39.7
	2033	4,100	2,200	1,900	0	66,200	40.9
	2038	4,100	2,500	1,600	0	67,800	41.9
	2043	4,100	2,800	1,300	0	69,100	42.9
	2048	4,100	3,000	1,100	0	70,200	43.9
Carterton District	2018	..	..	..	..	9,510	47.8
	2023	550	450	100	800	10,400	49.2
	2028	550	550	0	400	10,750	50
	2033	550	650	-100	400	11,100	50
	2038	600	750	-150	400	11,300	50.2
	2043	600	800	-200	400	11,500	50.1
	2048	600	850	-250	400	11,650	49.8
South Wairarapa District	2018	..	..	..	..	10,900	48.6
	2023	600	450	150	800	11,850	50.2
	2028	600	550	50	400	12,350	51
	2033	600	600	-50	400	12,700	51.8
	2038	550	700	-150	400	12,950	52.6
	2043	550	800	-200	400	13,150	53.3
	2048	550	850	-300	400	13,250	53.7
Tasman District	2018	..	..	..	..	54,000	47.1
	2023	2,600	2,000	500	5,000	59,600	48.8
	2028	2,600	2,500	100	2,500	62,200	50
	2033	2,700	3,000	-300	2,500	64,400	50.9
	2038	2,700	3,500	-800	2,500	66,100	51.9
	2043	2,600	3,900	-1,400	2,500	67,200	52.9
	2048	2,400	4,300	-1,900	2,500	67,800	53.7
Nelson City	2018	..	..	..	..	52,700	44.4
	2023	2,600	2,300	300	1,500	54,500	46
	2028	2,400	2,600	-200	1,500	55,800	47.5
	2033	2,300	2,900	-600	1,500	56,700	49
	2038	2,300	3,200	-1,000	1,500	57,300	50.3
	2043	2,300	3,600	-1,300	1,500	57,500	51.1
	2048	2,200	3,800	-1,600	1,500	57,400	51.8
Marlborough District	2018	..	..	..	..	48,700	45.7
	2023	2,400	2,200	200	3,000	52,000	47.1
	2028	2,300	2,500	-200	1,500	53,200	48.5
	2033	2,200	2,800	-600	1,500	54,200	49.9
	2038	2,200	3,100	-900	1,500	54,700	51.4
	2043	2,200	3,400	-1,200	1,500	55,100	52.6
	2048	2,200	3,600	-1,400	1,500	55,200	53.5
Kaikoura District	2018	..	..	..	..	4,060	47.1
	2023	220	180	40	50	4,150	48.1
	2028	200	200	0	50	4,200	49
	2033	180	220	-40	50	4,210	49.9
	2038	170	250	-80	50	4,180	50.9
	2043	170	270	-100	50	4,120	51.3
	2048	180	290	-110	50	4,070	50.9
Buller District	2018	..	..	..	..	9,850	53.1
	2023	440	560	-120	-50	9,680	54.5
	2028	400	630	-230	100	9,550	55
	2033	370	680	-310	100	9,340	55.1
	2038	330	750	-420	100	9,020	55.3
	2043	310	800	-500	100	8,620	55.9
	2048	290	820	-530	100	8,190	56.4
Westland District	2018	..	..	..	..	8,830	45.6
	2023	430	360	80	-50	8,860	46.8
	2028	400	410	-10	50	8,900	47.8
	2033	370	460	-90	50	8,860	49.1
	2038	340	510	-170	50	8,750	50.9
	2043	330	550	-220	50	8,580	52.2
	2048	320	580	-270	50	8,360	53.1
Hurunui District	2018	..	..	..	..	12,950	45.3
	2023	700	400	300	500	13,750	46.3
	2028	650	500	150	250	14,150	47.6
	2033	650	600	50	250	14,500	49
	2038	650	650	-50	250	14,700	50.5
	2043	650	750	-100	250	14,850	51.7
	2048	600	800	-200	250	14,900	52.6
Selwyn District	2018	..	..	..	..	63,300	37.4
	2023	4,700	1,100	3,500	16,000	82,900	39.5
	2028	5,200	1,500	3,700	6,000	92,500	41.5
	2033	5,100	1,900	3,200	4,500	100,200	43
	2038	5,300	2,500	2,800	4,500	107,500	43.8
	2043	5,700	3,100	2,600	4,500	114,600	44.2
	2048	6,100	3,700	2,300	4,500	121,500	44.9
Timaru District	2018	..	..	..	..	47,600	44.5
	2023	2,400	2,500	-100	1,200	48,700	45.2
	2028	2,300	2,700	-400	1,000	49,400	46.5
	2033	2,200	2,800	-700	1,000	49,700	48
	2038	2,100	3,000	-900	1,000	49,800	49.5
	2043	2,100	3,200	-1,100	1,000	49,600	50.6
	2048	2,000	3,300	-1,300	1,000	49,300	51.2
Chatham Islands Territory	2018	..	..	..	..	690	39.5
	2023	40	30	10	150	850	39.7
	2028	50	40	10	0	860	41.3
	2033	50	40	10	0	870	42.6
	2038	50	40	10	0	880	43.6
	2043	50	50	0	0	880	44.4
	2048	40	50	-10	0	870	45.8
Waitaki District	2018	..	..	..	..	22,900	45.1
	2023	1,000	1,200	-100	1,500	24,300	46
	2028	1,000	1,200	-200	500	24,600	47
	2033	1,000	1,300	-300	500	24,800	48.1
	2038	1,000	1,400	-400	500	24,900	49.4
	2043	1,000	1,500	-500	500	24,900	50.5
	2048	1,000	1,600	-600	500	24,800	51.6
Central Otago District	2018	..	..	..	..	22,200	45.9
	2023	1,200	900	400	3,500	26,100	46.8
	2028	1,200	1,000	200	1,500	27,800	48.1
	2033	1,200	1,200	-100	1,500	29,200	49.5
	2038	1,200	1,400	-300	1,500	30,400	51.1
	2043	1,200	1,600	-400	1,500	31,500	52.1
	2048	1,300	1,800	-500	1,500	32,600	52.2
Queenstown-Lakes District	2018	..	..	..	..	42,500	35.8
	2023	2,700	700	2,000	6,000	50,400	38.2
	2028	2,700	900	1,900	2,500	54,800	40.7
	2033	2,500	1,100	1,500	2,500	58,700	42.2
	2038	2,500	1,300	1,200	2,500	62,400	42.8
	2043	2,600	1,600	1,000	2,500	66,000	43.3
	2048	2,800	1,900	900	2,500	69,400	44.2
Dunedin City	2018	..	..	..	..	131,200	38.2
	2023	6,100	5,200	900	-1,000	131,100	39.1
	2028	5,700	5,500	200	2,000	133,300	40.1
	2033	5,600	5,900	-300	2,000	135,000	40.3
	2038	5,600	6,400	-800	2,000	136,200	40.5
	2043	5,700	6,900	-1,200	2,000	137,000	40.3
	2048	5,800	7,300	-1,500	2,000	137,600	40.9
Clutha District	2018	..	..	..	..	18,050	42.6
	2023	1,050	750	300	400	18,750	43.5
	2028	1,050	800	250	0	18,950	44.7
	2033	1,050	850	150	0	19,150	46
	2038	1,000	950	50	0	19,150	47.3
	2043	950	1,000	-100	0	19,100	48.3
	2048	900	1,050	-200	0	18,900	49.2
Southland District	2018	..	..	..	..	31,900	40.1
	2023	1,900	800	1,000	-200	32,700	41.5
	2028	1,800	1,000	800	-200	33,300	43.1
	2033	1,700	1,100	600	-200	33,700	44.6
	2038	1,700	1,300	400	-200	33,900	45.7
	2043	1,700	1,400	200	-200	34,000	46.7
	2048	1,600	1,600	100	-200	33,800	47.6
Invercargill City	2018	..	..	..	..	55,900	40.2
	2023	3,100	2,800	300	700	56,800	41.4
	2028	2,900	3,000	0	1,000	57,800	42.6
	2033	2,900	3,100	-200	1,000	58,600	43.6
	2038	2,900	3,300	-400	1,000	59,200	44.2
	2043	2,900	3,500	-600	1,000	59,600	44.7
	2048	2,900	3,700	-800	1,000	59,800	45.7

Data extracted on 28 May 2023 12:21 UTC (GMT) from NZ.Stat

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Statistical area 2 population projections, characteristics, 2018(base)-2048(update)

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