Urban area population projections, characteristics, 2013(base)-2043 update

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Urban area population projections, characteristics, 2013(base)-2043 update


Projection		Medium
Measure		Births (live) - 5 years ended 30 June	Deaths - 5 years ended 30 June	Natural increase - 5 years ended 30 June	Net migration - 5 years ended 30 June	Population at 30 June	Median age (years) at 30 June
Measure
Area	Year at 30 June
Main urban area	2013	..	..	..	..	3,227,600	36
	2018	225,000	109,100	115,900	211,400	3,554,900	35.4
	2023	247,400	114,700	132,700	102,300	3,789,900	36.2
	2028	252,500	122,600	129,900	55,600	3,975,300	37.6
	2033	246,400	134,000	112,400	55,100	4,142,800	39.2
	2038	240,400	148,800	91,600	54,600	4,289,000	40.7
	2043	241,500	164,500	77,000	54,600	4,420,600	41.7
Whangarei	2013	..	..	..	..	53,600	38.5
	2018	3,900	2,800	1,200	2,300	57,000	38.5
	2023	4,100	2,800	1,200	920	59,200	39
	2028	4,000	3,000	1,100	320	60,600	40
	2033	3,900	3,200	760	320	61,700	41.4
	2038	3,900	3,400	470	320	62,400	42.6
	2043	3,900	3,700	270	320	63,000	43.2
Auckland	2013	..	..	..	..	1,381,800	34.3
	2018	105,300	37,000	68,400	124,300	1,574,500	33.6
	2023	122,400	39,800	82,600	64,800	1,722,000	34.6
	2028	127,300	43,500	83,700	35,100	1,840,800	36.5
	2033	123,900	48,600	75,300	34,700	1,950,800	38.2
	2038	119,900	55,000	64,900	34,200	2,049,900	39.8
	2043	120,500	62,000	58,500	34,200	2,142,600	40.9
Hamilton	2013	..	..	..	..	214,800	33.9
	2018	16,000	6,800	9,200	16,900	240,900	33.9
	2023	17,500	7,300	10,200	8,000	259,100	34.8
	2028	18,000	8,000	10,000	5,400	274,600	36.1
	2033	18,000	8,800	9,200	5,400	289,200	37.6
	2038	18,100	9,900	8,100	5,400	302,700	38.8
	2043	18,600	11,100	7,500	5,400	315,600	39.4
Tauranga	2013	..	..	..	..	125,700	41
	2018	8,200	5,400	2,800	12,700	141,200	40.9
	2023	9,100	5,900	3,200	8,500	152,800	41.1
	2028	9,500	6,400	3,100	6,500	162,400	41.8
	2033	9,600	7,000	2,600	6,500	171,500	42.8
	2038	9,700	7,700	2,000	6,500	180,000	43.9
	2043	10,100	8,400	1,600	6,500	188,100	44.8
Rotorua	2013	..	..	..	..	55,800	36.1
	2018	4,200	2,500	1,700	1,100	58,600	35.9
	2023	4,400	2,500	1,800	-590	59,900	36.7
	2028	4,300	2,600	1,700	-1,200	60,300	38.2
	2033	4,000	2,800	1,300	-1,200	60,300	39.9
	2038	3,800	3,000	790	-1,200	59,900	41.7
	2043	3,600	3,200	420	-1,200	59,100	43.1
Gisborne	2013	..	..	..	..	35,200	35.2
	2018	2,800	1,500	1,300	160	36,700	35.7
	2023	2,800	1,500	1,300	-400	37,600	36.8
	2028	2,600	1,600	1,100	-400	38,200	38.3
	2033	2,500	1,700	800	-400	38,600	40
	2038	2,400	1,800	560	-400	38,800	41.3
	2043	2,400	2,000	400	-400	38,800	42.1
Napier-Hastings	2013	..	..	..	..	127,600	39.9
	2018	8,800	5,800	3,000	2,200	132,800	40.7
	2023	8,700	6,000	2,700	280	135,800	41.8
	2028	8,400	6,400	2,100	280	138,200	42.9
	2033	8,100	6,900	1,200	280	139,700	44
	2038	7,900	7,500	440	280	140,400	45.2
	2043	7,900	8,100	-170	280	140,500	46.1
New Plymouth	2013	..	..	..	..	54,800	40.4
	2018	3,600	2,700	880	2,600	58,200	40.8
	2023	3,600	2,800	780	1,300	60,300	41.8
	2028	3,400	2,900	470	1,300	62,000	43.1
	2033	3,200	3,100	110	1,300	63,400	44.5
	2038	3,100	3,300	-190	1,300	64,500	45.9
	2043	3,300	3,700	-370	1,300	65,400	46.7
Wanganui	2013	..	..	..	..	39,300	41.9
	2018	2,500	2,300	210	370	39,900	42.8
	2023	2,500	2,200	240	-230	39,900	43.8
	2028	2,400	2,300	90	-230	39,800	44.7
	2033	2,200	2,400	-170	-230	39,400	46
	2038	2,100	2,500	-440	-230	38,700	47.4
	2043	2,000	2,700	-640	-230	37,800	48.8
Palmerston North	2013	..	..	..	..	81,500	33.3
	2018	5,500	2,900	2,600	1,800	86,000	33
	2023	5,700	3,000	2,800	200	88,900	33.5
	2028	5,800	3,100	2,700	-200	91,400	34.4
	2033	5,700	3,300	2,400	-200	93,600	35.5
	2038	5,700	3,600	2,100	-200	95,400	36.2
	2043	5,700	3,900	1,800	-200	97,100	36.7
Kapiti	2013	..	..	..	..	40,700	46.6
	2018	1,900	2,500	-540	2,500	42,700	47.6
	2023	2,000	2,500	-460	1,600	43,900	49
	2028	2,000	2,500	-500	1,600	45,000	49.8
	2033	2,000	2,600	-660	1,600	45,900	50.3
	2038	1,900	2,800	-870	1,600	46,700	50.9
	2043	1,900	2,900	-1,000	1,600	47,300	52
Wellington	2013	..	..	..	..	389,600	35.3
	2018	25,700	10,600	15,000	8,800	413,400	35.4
	2023	26,500	11,300	15,200	-860	427,700	36
	2028	26,500	12,200	14,300	-3,400	438,600	37.2
	2033	25,800	13,400	12,400	-3,400	447,700	38.4
	2038	25,100	15,000	10,100	-3,400	454,400	39.7
	2043	24,800	16,600	8,100	-3,400	459,200	40.5
Nelson	2013	..	..	..	..	63,300	42.4
	2018	3,400	2,800	540	3,300	67,100	44.3
	2023	3,400	3,100	220	2,200	69,600	46.1
	2028	3,300	3,500	-210	2,200	71,600	47.6
	2033	3,200	3,800	-680	2,200	73,100	48.9
	2038	3,100	4,300	-1,200	2,200	74,200	50
	2043	3,100	4,800	-1,600	2,200	74,700	51
Blenheim	2013	..	..	..	..	30,100	42.3
	2018	1,800	1,600	270	720	31,100	43.6
	2023	1,800	1,700	150	460	31,700	44.7
	2028	1,700	1,800	-40	460	32,200	45.8
	2033	1,600	1,900	-260	460	32,400	47.1
	2038	1,600	2,000	-460	460	32,400	48.3
	2043	1,600	2,100	-550	460	32,300	49.2
Christchurch	2013	..	..	..	..	369,200	38.2
	2018	22,600	14,500	8,100	26,000	403,300	37.8
	2023	24,300	14,800	9,500	14,200	426,900	38.1
	2028	24,800	15,500	9,300	6,800	443,100	39.1
	2033	24,400	16,600	7,800	6,800	457,800	40.5
	2038	24,100	18,400	5,700	6,800	470,300	41.8
	2043	24,200	20,200	4,000	6,800	481,200	42.8
Dunedin	2013	..	..	..	..	115,100	35.5
	2018	5,600	4,900	730	4,300	120,100	35.1
	2023	5,700	4,900	820	1,900	122,800	35.4
	2028	5,700	5,000	700	930	124,500	36.3
	2033	5,600	5,300	320	930	125,700	37.5
	2038	5,500	5,700	-200	930	126,500	38.6
	2043	5,400	6,100	-670	930	126,700	39.1
Invercargill	2013	..	..	..	..	49,300	38.5
	2018	3,100	2,500	520	1,400	51,300	38.6
	2023	3,100	2,500	540	-20	51,800	39.6
	2028	2,900	2,600	300	-20	52,100	41.1
	2033	2,700	2,700	-10	-20	52,000	42.8
	2038	2,600	2,900	-310	-20	51,700	44.5
	2043	2,500	3,100	-560	-20	51,100	45.6
Secondary urban area	2013	..	..	..	..	249,000	40.6
	2018	16,400	12,700	3,600	13,700	266,300	40.6
	2023	17,100	13,300	3,800	5,200	275,300	41.2
	2028	16,800	14,000	2,800	4,500	282,700	42.1
	2033	16,100	14,800	1,300	5,200	289,200	43.2
	2038	15,600	15,700	-170	5,200	294,200	44.6
	2043	15,700	16,800	-1,100	5,200	298,300	45.7
Pukekohe	2013	..	..	..	..	27,800	35.4
	2018	2,300	960	1,300	3,000	32,100	36
	2023	2,600	1,200	1,400	2,000	35,500	36.6
	2028	2,800	1,300	1,400	1,800	38,800	37.4
	2033	2,900	1,500	1,400	2,500	42,700	38.1
	2038	3,100	1,600	1,500	2,500	46,700	38.8
	2043	3,300	1,800	1,500	2,500	50,700	39.4
Tokoroa	2013	..	..	..	..	13,400	36.6
	2018	1,100	580	490	-150	13,700	36.9
	2023	1,100	600	470	-580	13,600	38.1
	2028	990	630	360	-580	13,400	39.5
	2033	850	660	190	-580	13,000	42
	2038	730	700	40	-580	12,450	44.6
	2043	670	730	-60	-580	11,800	47.4
Taupo	2013	..	..	..	..	23,100	40.4
	2018	1,500	1,100	470	1,100	24,700	40.5
	2023	1,600	1,100	450	140	25,300	41.9
	2028	1,500	1,200	310	140	25,700	43.3
	2033	1,400	1,300	110	140	25,900	44.8
	2038	1,300	1,400	-70	140	26,000	46.6
	2043	1,300	1,500	-180	140	26,000	48
Whakatane	2013	..	..	..	..	18,700	41
	2018	1,400	920	430	670	19,800	41.2
	2023	1,300	930	420	-110	20,100	42.5
	2028	1,300	970	280	-110	20,300	43.9
	2033	1,200	1,000	100	-110	20,300	45.5
	2038	1,100	1,100	-60	-110	20,100	47.2
	2043	1,100	1,200	-160	-110	19,850	48.7
Hawera	2013	..	..	..	..	11,600	38.4
	2018	900	600	300	90	11,950	37.8
	2023	890	560	330	-100	12,200	38.4
	2028	840	560	280	-100	12,400	39.5
	2033	790	580	210	-100	12,500	40.8
	2038	780	610	170	-100	12,600	41.6
	2043	800	630	160	-100	12,650	42.1
Feilding	2013	..	..	..	..	15,350	39.9
	2018	1,000	840	190	1,200	16,700	39.5
	2023	1,100	880	230	370	17,300	40.1
	2028	1,100	930	150	370	17,850	41.4
	2033	1,000	990	30	370	18,250	43
	2038	960	1,000	-80	370	18,500	44.8
	2043	960	1,100	-160	370	18,750	46.3
Levin	2013	..	..	..	..	20,100	46
	2018	1,100	1,400	-270	900	20,700	47.2
	2023	1,200	1,400	-250	350	20,800	48.8
	2028	1,200	1,500	-320	350	20,900	49.8
	2033	1,100	1,500	-450	350	20,800	50.3
	2038	1,000	1,600	-600	350	20,500	51.1
	2043	940	1,700	-710	350	20,200	52.6
Masterton	2013	..	..	..	..	20,700	41.9
	2018	1,300	1,200	40	750	21,500	42.4
	2023	1,300	1,200	70	300	21,900	43.3
	2028	1,300	1,300	-20	300	22,200	44.3
	2033	1,200	1,400	-200	300	22,300	45.4
	2038	1,100	1,400	-360	300	22,200	47.1
	2043	1,000	1,500	-490	300	22,000	48.6
Greymouth	2013	..	..	..	..	9,890	43
	2018	530	520	10	-180	9,720	45.5
	2023	500	530	-30	-30	9,650	46.8
	2028	460	550	-100	-30	9,530	47.7
	2033	400	580	-190	-30	9,310	48.6
	2038	350	620	-280	-30	9,000	49.6
	2043	320	660	-340	-30	8,630	51.1
Rangiora	2013	..	..	..	..	15,650	42.2
	2018	940	780	160	2,300	18,100	42.9
	2023	1,100	960	120	1,300	19,550	42.8
	2028	1,200	1,100	90	1,000	20,700	43.3
	2033	1,200	1,200	0	1,000	21,700	44.2
	2038	1,100	1,200	-90	1,000	22,600	45.5
	2043	1,200	1,300	-140	1,000	23,500	46.9
Ashburton	2013	..	..	..	..	19,200	42.1
	2018	1,300	1,100	180	900	20,300	41.4
	2023	1,300	1,100	190	400	20,900	41.3
	2028	1,300	1,100	140	400	21,400	41.7
	2033	1,200	1,100	80	400	21,900	42.4
	2038	1,300	1,200	50	400	22,300	43
	2043	1,300	1,300	70	400	22,800	42.8
Timaru	2013	..	..	..	..	28,000	43.6
	2018	1,500	1,700	-130	1,100	28,900	44.6
	2023	1,600	1,700	-170	560	29,300	45.6
	2028	1,500	1,800	-300	560	29,600	46.4
	2033	1,400	1,900	-490	560	29,700	47.4
	2038	1,300	2,000	-690	560	29,500	48.6
	2043	1,300	2,100	-840	560	29,300	49.9
Oamaru	2013	..	..	..	..	13,400	47
	2018	760	960	-200	680	13,850	46.9
	2023	790	920	-130	330	14,050	47.3
	2028	770	920	-150	330	14,250	47.3
	2033	720	950	-230	330	14,350	47.6
	2038	690	970	-280	330	14,400	48.3
	2043	690	1,000	-320	330	14,400	49.1
Queenstown	2013	..	..	..	..	12,100	33
	2018	850	180	680	1,400	14,200	33.2
	2023	880	170	710	230	15,100	33.7
	2028	860	150	710	30	15,850	35.1
	2033	820	170	660	30	16,550	36.8
	2038	800	200	600	30	17,150	37.9
	2043	820	240	570	30	17,800	38.4
Minor urban area	2013	..	..	..	..	351,700	42.2
	2018	22,700	18,000	4,800	24,400	380,800	42
	2023	24,200	18,600	5,600	7,400	393,700	42.8
	2028	23,600	19,600	4,000	4,900	402,600	43.8
	2033	22,100	21,000	1,100	5,200	408,900	45.1
	2038	21,000	22,700	-1,700	5,200	412,400	46.9
	2043	20,800	24,200	-3,500	5,200	414,100	48.5
Rural Centre	2013	..	..	..	..	75,400	41.8
	2018	4,600	2,900	1,700	2,400	79,500	41.9
	2023	4,800	3,100	1,700	150	81,400	42.3
	2028	4,900	3,300	1,500	-160	82,800	42.7
	2033	4,800	3,600	1,200	-460	83,500	43.4
	2038	4,700	3,900	770	-460	83,800	44.3
	2043	4,700	4,200	430	-460	83,800	45
Other	2013	..	..	..	..	538,500	41.6
	2018	32,300	12,500	19,800	24,800	583,100	42.4
	2023	34,600	14,100	20,500	13,900	617,600	43.1
	2028	35,200	16,700	18,600	10,200	646,300	43.8
	2033	34,500	20,200	14,300	10,000	670,600	44.7
	2038	33,800	24,400	9,400	10,500	690,500	45.8
	2043	34,000	28,600	5,500	10,500	706,400	46.8

Data extracted on 15 Nov 2019 10:31 UTC (GMT) from NZ.Stat

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